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An Analysis of the Battery Market Has Been Conducted
The Competition Policy and Consumer Rights Research Center under the Competition Committee analyzed the competitive environment in the battery market, as well as the level of saturation of the domestic market with locally produced goods. According to the analysis results:Imports: In 2024, 27 enterprises imported lead-acid batteries from 12 countries totaling USD 19.9 million (943 thousand units).Import structure:- Republic of Korea — 42%- China — 27%- Kazakhstan — 18%- Other countries — 13% The top 5 importing enterprises accounted for 70% of total imports.In 2024, 4 enterprises exported products to 5 countries totaling USD 5.2 million (151 thousand units).Domestic production: In 2024, 2 enterprises produced goods worth UZS 478 billion (1.1 million units). Market saturation: According to calculations, the level of domestic market saturation with locally produced goods amounted to 59.2%. It should be noted that a market is considered saturated when this indicator exceeds 80%. Conclusion: Domestic production in the lead-acid battery market has reached a certain level of development. At the same time, demand for this product remains high. This indicates significant opportunities for expanding production capacity and implementing new investment projects. |Telegram |facebook|instagram|
VAR Model Introduced into Econometric Analysis
The Competition Policy and Consumer Rights Research Center under the Competition Committee continues to systematically implement modern scientific approaches in the field of economic analysis and forecasting. In particular, while market analyses had previously been effectively conducted using the ARIMA model—allowing for the assessment of price dynamics and short-term trends—the Center is now advancing to a more sophisticated econometric model, VAR (Vector Autoregression). The introduction of the VAR model enables:- more accurate forecasting of market changes;- identification of hidden and multidimensional relationships between economic indicators, as well as real causal links between factors such as prices, imports, demand, etc.;- early assessment of the impact of market shocks and fluctuations;- development of precise and reliable forecasts by considering multiple factors simultaneously;- support for evidence-based decision-making by public authorities and market participants;- transformation of analysis from simple statistical observation to deep scientific insight. Overall, the implementation of the VAR model elevates economic analysis to a new qualitative level. It moves beyond merely describing current conditions, enabling deeper understanding, forecasting, and analysis of underlying economic processes and drivers. As a result, the Center’s activities are evolving from data analysis into a scientific platform that supports strategic forecasting and informed decision-making. |Telegram |facebook|instagram|
Analysis of the Bicycle Inner Tube Market Conducted
The Competition Policy and Consumer Rights Research Center under the Competition Committee has conducted a study of the competitive environment in the bicycle inner tube market, as well as the level of domestic market saturation with locally produced goods. According to the analysis:Imports: In 2024, 39 companies imported bicycle inner tubes from 4 countries worth a total of USD 2 million (4.2 million units). The main share of imports accounted for: • China — 99% • Other 3 countries — 1%The top 5 importing companies accounted for 70% of total imports.No exports were recorded in 2024.Domestic production: In 2024, only 1 enterprise produced goods worth 101 million UZS.Market saturation level: According to calculations, the level of domestic market saturation with locally produced goods amounted to 0.2%.It should be noted that under current regulations, a market is considered saturated when this indicator exceeds 80%. Conclusion: The volume of domestic production of bicycle inner tubes remains extremely low. At the same time, market demand for this product remains high, indicating significant opportunities for expanding local production and implementing new investment projects. |Telegram |facebook|instagram|
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